Dynamical understanding of “windows of forecast opportunity” (A08)

Subject Area Atmospheric Science
Term from 2019 to 2024
Project identifier Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 257899354
 

Project Description

Teleconnections link the stratosphere and organized convection in the tropics to midlatitude weather, and most notably to persistent weather conditions that may lead to high-impact weather events. Under certain circumstances, these teleconnections imply “windows of forecast opportunity”, i.e., longer than usual predictability. Understanding of when such opportunities can indeed be realized, however, is incomplete. To better exploit the predictability potential in the future, this project seeks process-based understanding of the underlying teleconnections and how they constraint the growth of forecast errors.
DFG Programme CRC/Transregios
Subproject of TRR 165:  Waves to Weather
Applicant Institution Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Project Heads Professor Dr. Christian Grams; Privatdozent Dr. Michael Riemer; Professor Dr. Volkmar Wirth